Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000138 0.000153 0.000170 0.000190 0.000211 0.000235 0.000262
2025-09-14 0.000114 0.000135 0.000159 0.000188 0.000222 0.000262 0.000311
2025-09-21 0.000099 0.000123 0.000153 0.000190 0.000238 0.000295 0.000369
2025-09-28 0.000087 0.000113 0.000147 0.000192 0.000250 0.000325 0.000426
2025-10-05 0.000076 0.000104 0.000140 0.000190 0.000259 0.000350 0.000480
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000099 0.000138 0.000194 0.000275 0.000385 0.000549
2025-10-19 0.000063 0.000092 0.000133 0.000195 0.000285 0.000413 0.000610
2025-10-26 0.000058 0.000087 0.000129 0.000195 0.000294 0.000440 0.000672
2025-11-02 0.000052 0.000081 0.000124 0.000193 0.000300 0.000462 0.000728
2025-11-09 0.000048 0.000077 0.000122 0.000194 0.000311 0.000492 0.000797
2025-11-16 0.000044 0.000073 0.000117 0.000191 0.000315 0.000511 0.000852
2025-11-23 0.000041 0.000069 0.000113 0.000191 0.000321 0.000535 0.000915
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000065 0.000111 0.000191 0.000330 0.000564 0.000990
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000062 0.000107 0.000189 0.000335 0.000587 0.001057
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.000060 0.000106 0.000192 0.000348 0.000625 0.001155
2025-12-21 0.000031 0.000058 0.000104 0.000193 0.000359 0.000658 0.001247
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000055 0.000101 0.000192 0.000365 0.000684 0.001326
2026-01-04 0.000028 0.000054 0.000101 0.000196 0.000381 0.000730 0.001449
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000052 0.000099 0.000196 0.000390 0.000763 0.001547
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000050 0.000097 0.000196 0.000398 0.000795 0.001647
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000194 0.000402 0.000818 0.001732
2026-02-01 0.000022 0.000046 0.000093 0.000196 0.000412 0.000857 0.001850
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000193 0.000414 0.000877 0.001932